Chris Bassitt is a Baltimore Orioles SP projected for 134 fantasy points on 107.1 IP, 78 K, 4.6 ERA, 1.537 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 1% and a bust at 14%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Chris Bassitt's 2026 projection is built on 107 innings as a starter.
Across 11 seasons with meaningful innings, Bassitt's biggest strikeout year came in 2023 at age 34: 186 strikeouts over 200 innings, with 16 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 171, 170 and 102, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Bassitt's 4.59 ERA sat close to a 4.92 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Bassitt struck out 16.1% of batters and walked 8.3%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 7.8 points, and hitters missed on 20.9% of their swings. Contact against Bassitt averaged 88.3 mph off the bat, with a 5.0% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Bassitt's arsenal as trending up. Over the last 371 pitches, the whiff rate sits 4 points above and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 3 points above Bassitt's own baseline. The engine applies a +6% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Bassitt's projected range runs from a 126-point floor to a 266-point upside, around a 134-point median: a spread of 140 points, or 104% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Bassitt on the board are Ryan Gusto, Max Scherzer and Spencer Arrighetti.
At 37, Bassitt is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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