Nick Pivetta is a San Diego Padres SP projected for 96 fantasy points on 37.1 IP, 44 K, 2.9 ERA, 1.015 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 52% and a bust at 17%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Nick Pivetta's 2026 projection is built on 37 innings as a starter.
Across 9 seasons with meaningful innings, Pivetta's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 32: 190 strikeouts over 182 innings, with 13 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 146, 182 and 35, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
Tracking data from 2026: Pivetta struck out 30.0% of batters and walked 5.7%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 24.3 points, and hitters missed on 22.8% of their swings. Contact against Pivetta averaged 89.6 mph off the bat, with a 10.1% barrel rate.
Pivetta's projected range runs from a 91-point floor to a 154-point upside, around a 96-point median: a spread of 63 points, or 66% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Pivetta on the board are Steven Okert, Josh Hader and Matt Strahm.
At 33, Pivetta is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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