Trevor Story is a Boston Red Sox SS projected for 80 fantasy points on 8 HR, .252 AVG, 27 R, 32 RBI, 6 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 27%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Trevor Story's 2026 projection is built on 276 plate appearances, down from 654 in 2025. Story bats right-handed.
Across 11 seasons of regular playing time, Story's most productive came in 2018 at age 25: 339 total bases, 108 RBI and 88 runs over 656 plate appearances, with 27 stolen bases. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 106, 654 and 266.
In 2026, Story's results ran ahead of the quality of contact: a .272 wOBA against a .248 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so part of that output came on contact that does not usually produce it.
Story's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 87.1 mph average exit velocity, a 5.4% barrel rate and 36.5% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Story struck out in 32.3% of plate appearances and walked in 4.1%, chasing 43.6% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 70.9 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Story's average exit velocity fell from 91.4 mph to 87.1 mph and strikeout rate rose from 26.9% to 32.3%.
Story's projected range runs from a 71-point floor to a 245-point upside, around an 80-point median: a spread of 174 points, or 218% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Story on the board are Jackson Merrill, Zach Neto and Julio Rodríguez.
At 33, Story is past the typical hitting peak, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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