Miles Mikolas is a SP+RP projected for 78 fantasy points on 104 IP, 54 K, 5.8 ERA, 1.379 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 15%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Miles Mikolas's 2026 projection is built on 104 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 8 seasons with meaningful innings, Mikolas's biggest strikeout year came in 2022 at age 33: 153 strikeouts over 202 innings, with 12 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 172, 156 and 116.
In 2026, Mikolas's 5.82 ERA ran above a 5.47 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: Mikolas struck out 11.6% of batters and walked 4.6%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 7.0 points, and hitters missed on 14.5% of their swings. Contact against Mikolas averaged 90.1 mph off the bat, with a 9.2% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Mikolas's arsenal as trending up. Over the last 289 pitches, the whiff rate is level with and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 3 points above Mikolas's own baseline. The engine applies a +4% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Mikolas's projected range runs from an 84-point floor to a 147-point upside, around a 92-point median: a spread of 63 points, or 68% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Mikolas on the board are Antonio Senzatela, Trevor Richards and Jake Irvin.
At 37, Mikolas is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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