José Ureña is a SP+RP projected for 0 fantasy points on 0 IP, 0 K, 3.7 ERA, 1.244 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 17%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Across 11 seasons with meaningful innings, Ureña's biggest strikeout year came in 2018 at age 26: 130 strikeouts over 174 innings, with 9 wins. Innings across 2023, 2024 and 2025 ran 45, 109 and 55.
In 2025, Ureña's 4.58 ERA came in below a 6.73 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2025: Ureña struck out 13.9% of batters and walked 9.4%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 4.5 points, and hitters missed on 19.8% of their swings. Contact against Ureña averaged 89.6 mph off the bat, with a 13.0% barrel rate.
Ureña's projected range runs from an 80-point floor to a 127-point upside, around a 79-point median: a spread of 47 points, or 59% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Ureña on the board are Hunter Strickland, Andrew Heaney and Marcus Stroman.
At 34, Ureña is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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