Ildemaro Vargas is a Arizona Diamondbacks 1B/2B projected for 295 fantasy points on 10 HR, .252 AVG, 65 R, 70 RBI, 3 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 16%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Ildemaro Vargas's 2026 projection is built on 504 plate appearances in a regular role. Vargas is a switch-hitter.
Across 8 seasons of regular playing time, Vargas's most productive came in 2026 at age 34: 171 total bases, 67 RBI and 62 runs over 486 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 303, 121 and 486, a rising workload.
In 2026, Vargas's results tracked the quality of contact closely: a .295 wOBA against a .297 expected wOBA.
Vargas's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 87.4 mph average exit velocity, a 3.2% barrel rate and 35.0% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Vargas struck out in 10.1% of plate appearances and walked in 5.6%, chasing 39.2% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 70.9 mph.
Vargas's strikeout, walk and contact rates held within normal year-to-year noise from 2024 to 2026, so the forecast is not reacting to a skill change.
Vargas's projected range runs from a 281-point floor to a 398-point upside, around a 295-point median: a spread of 117 points, or 40% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Vargas on the board are Jose F Miranda, Masataka Yoshida and Jacob Wilson.
At 34, Vargas is past the typical hitting peak, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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