Freddie Freeman is a Los Angeles Dodgers 1B projected for 368 fantasy points on 22 HR, .283 AVG, 78 R, 74 RBI, 7 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 12% and a bust at 17%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Freddie Freeman's 2026 projection is built on 690 plate appearances as an everyday regular. Freeman bats left-handed.
Across 12 seasons of regular playing time, Freeman's most productive came in 2023 at age 33: 361 total bases, 102 RBI and 131 runs over 730 plate appearances, with 23 stolen bases. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 638, 627 and 657.
In 2026, Freeman's results lagged the quality of contact: a .348 wOBA against a .363 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so the gap describes output that ran below what the contact earned.
Freeman's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 89.5 mph average exit velocity, an 8.1% barrel rate and 41.3% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Freeman struck out in 17.7% of plate appearances and walked in 10.0%, chasing 29.3% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 70.1 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Freeman's average exit velocity fell from 90.9 mph to 89.5 mph and strikeout rate fell from 20.4% to 17.7%.
Freeman's projected range runs from a 350-point floor to a 478-point upside, around a 368-point median: a spread of 128 points, or 35% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Freeman on the board are Nathaniel Lowe, JJ Bleday and Bo Naylor.
At 36, Freeman is past the typical hitting peak, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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