Kirby Yates

Kirby Yates is a Pittsburgh Pirates RP projected for 110 fantasy points on 45.2 IP, 52 K, 3.2 ERA, 1.211 WHIP, 3 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 16%.

Team
Pittsburgh Pirates
Position
RP
Projected fantasy points
110
Projected innings
45.2
Projected strikeouts
52
Projected ERA
3.2
Projected WHIP
1.211
Projected wins
2.1
Projected saves
3
Projected hits allowed
37
Projected earned runs
16
Projected walks allowed
18
Floor (10th percentile)
104
Median outcome
110
Upside (90th percentile)
176
Elite-season odds
0%
Bust odds
16%

Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Kirby Yates's 2026 projection is built on 45 innings out of the bullpen.

Across 9 seasons with meaningful innings, Yates's biggest strikeout year came in 2019 at age 32: 101 strikeouts over 61 innings, with 41 saves. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 62, 41 and 42.

In 2026, Yates's 3.19 ERA sat close to a 3.39 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.

Tracking data from 2026: Yates struck out 27.5% of batters and walked 9.6%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 17.9 points, and hitters missed on 28.0% of their swings. Contact against Yates averaged 91.4 mph off the bat, with a 5.6% barrel rate.

Yates's projected range runs from a 104-point floor to a 176-point upside, around a 110-point median: a spread of 72 points, or 65% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Yates on the board are Caleb Thielbar, Ryan Weathers and Christian Scott.

At 39, Yates is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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