9 bullpens have no clear owner of the ninth. Where the saves are actually gettable.
Saves are the category most often decided by a role rather than a skill, so this is the standing read on all 30 bullpens rather than a reaction to any one blown save. CCS is the closer-confidence score: save share over the last 30 and 14 days, leverage, role history, skills and usage. The number that matters is not any single arm's score but the GAP between the top two.
No arm has separated. These are the bullpens worth speculating in, because the cost of the second-best arm is near zero and the payoff if he takes the job is a full closer.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | [Jordan Romano](#/player/605447) | 57 | 10.7 | 13 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Brennan Bernardino](#/player/657514) | 48 | 7.2 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Jaden Hill](#/player/677955) | 21 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| CWS | [Grant Taylor](#/player/691799) | 54 | 9.7 | 8 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Bryan Hudson](#/player/663542) | 42 | 5.3 | 5 | Live alternative | |
| [Trevor Richards](#/player/670950) | 32 | 2.1 | 2 | Deep | |
| LAA | [Ryan Watson](#/player/670245) | 54 | 7.4 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ben Joyce](#/player/690829) | 43 | 4.3 | 5 | Live alternative | |
| [Mitch Farris](#/player/815083) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| WSH | [Erik Tolman](#/player/680899) | 50 | 21.2 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Jack Sinclair](#/player/695378) | 27 | 2.1 | 1 | Live alternative | |
| [Yovanny Cruz](#/player/672442) | 26 | 1.9 | 1 | Deep | |
| SF | [Joel Kuhnel](#/player/669270) | 47 | 7.1 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Trent Harris](#/player/805345) | 45 | 6.4 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Dylan Smith](#/player/681916) | 29 | 1.3 | 3 | Deep | |
| BAL | [Rico Garcia](#/player/670329) | 44 | 14.0 | 6 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Andrew Kittredge](#/player/552640) | 44 | 13.8 | 10 | Live alternative | |
| [Josh Walker](#/player/677020) | 23 | 0.2 | 1 | Deep | |
| MIN | [Yoendrys Gómez](#/player/672782) | 43 | 10.9 | 15 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Andrew Morris](#/player/702193) | 32 | 4.2 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Travis Adams](#/player/701519) | 31 | 3.7 | 2 | Deep | |
| ARI | [Jonathan Loáisiga](#/player/642528) | 43 | 3.5 | 1 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Brandyn Garcia](#/player/805299) | 35 | 1.9 | 4 | Live alternative | |
| [Kevin Ginkel](#/player/656464) | 33 | 1.5 | 3 | Deep | |
| CHC | [Ryan Zeferjahn](#/player/666171) | 42 | 11.6 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ryan Rolison](#/player/669020) | 38 | 8.6 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Colin Rea](#/player/607067) | 29 | 2.8 | 2 | Deep |
A clear leader with a live arm behind him. Rosterable, but the handcuff is worth more here than anywhere else.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | [Josh Hader](#/player/623352) | 70 | 15.5 | 19 | Has it for now |
| [Bryan Abreu](#/player/650556) | 39 | 4.0 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [AJ Blubaugh](#/player/805123) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| TB | [Bryan Baker](#/player/641329) | 69 | 22.3 | 22 | Has it for now |
| [Cole Sulser](#/player/642121) | 37 | 5.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Wells](#/player/669330) | 21 | 0.0 | 6 | Deep | |
| MIL | [Trevor Megill](#/player/656730) | 64 | 20.3 | 21 | Has it for now |
| [Aaron Ashby](#/player/676879) | 34 | 3.9 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Shane Drohan](#/player/675660) | 26 | 1.1 | 2 | Deep | |
| BOS | [Aroldis Chapman](#/player/547973) | 61 | 22.1 | 23 | Has it for now |
| [Garrett Whitlock](#/player/676477) | 32 | 3.8 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Raymond Burgos](#/player/670103) | 25 | 0.8 | 2 | Deep | |
| MIA | [Sandy Alcantara](#/player/645261) | 57 | 14.2 | 3 | Has it for now |
| [Pete Fairbanks](#/player/664126) | 33 | 3.1 | 14 | Next in line | |
| [Calvin Faucher](#/player/676534) | 28 | 1.4 | 2 | Deep | |
| NYM | [Kodai Senga](#/player/673540) | 57 | 14.0 | 8 | Has it for now |
| [Dedniel Núñez](#/player/673380) | 36 | 4.3 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Devin Williams](#/player/642207) | 32 | 2.6 | 14 | Deep | |
| KC | [Lucas Erceg](#/player/668674) | 55 | 7.4 | 3 | Has it for now |
| [Nate Pearson](#/player/663878) | 39 | 3.3 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Alex Lange](#/player/656638) | 33 | 1.8 | 9 | Deep |
Wide separation at the top. Pay for the closer, ignore the handcuff.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | [Mason Montgomery](#/player/682254) | 81 | 21.5 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Gregory Soto](#/player/642397) | 34 | 2.6 | 5 | Next in line | |
| [Lake Bachar](#/player/669199) | 21 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| TOR | [Louis Varland](#/player/686973) | 81 | 26.6 | 21 | Owns it |
| [Paul Sewald](#/player/623149) | 28 | 1.4 | 9 | Next in line | |
| [Spencer Miles](#/player/693686) | 23 | 0.1 | 2 | Deep | |
| NYY | [David Bednar](#/player/670280) | 80 | 21.1 | 21 | Owns it |
| [John Schreiber](#/player/670167) | 33 | 2.3 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Ryan Yarbrough](#/player/642232) | 20 | 0.0 | 3 | Deep | |
| CLE | [Cade Smith](#/player/671922) | 80 | 14.0 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Erik Sabrowski](#/player/681870) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Daniel Espino](#/player/682982) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| DET | [Kenley Jansen](#/player/445276) | 80 | 18.7 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Holton](#/player/663947) | 21 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Kinley](#/player/641755) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| TEX | [Jacob Latz](#/player/656641) | 79 | 17.0 | 21 | Owns it |
| [Jordan Montgomery](#/player/656756) | 33 | 1.9 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Jakob Junis](#/player/596001) | 26 | 0.6 | 3 | Deep | |
| CIN | [Emilio Pagán](#/player/641941) | 79 | 24.2 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Tejay Antone](#/player/622088) | 19 | 0.0 | 0 | Next in line | |
| [Pierce Johnson](#/player/572955) | 19 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| SD | [Mason Miller](#/player/695243) | 78 | 16.8 | 17 | Owns it |
| [Yuki Matsui](#/player/673513) | 31 | 1.5 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Adrian Morejon](#/player/670970) | 25 | 0.4 | 2 | Deep | |
| ATL | [Raisel Iglesias](#/player/628452) | 77 | 19.3 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Dylan Dodd](#/player/689266) | 31 | 1.9 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Didier Fuentes](#/player/800311) | 26 | 0.6 | 2 | Deep | |
| PHI | [Jhoan Duran](#/player/661395) | 73 | 23.4 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Jonathan Bowlan](#/player/680742) | 20 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Alex McFarlane](#/player/686934) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| SEA | [Andrés Muñoz](#/player/662253) | 73 | 14.0 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Eduard Bazardo](#/player/660825) | 35 | 2.3 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Carlos Vargas](#/player/672841) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| ATH | [Hogan Harris](#/player/663687) | 73 | 18.5 | 11 | Owns it |
| [Elvis Alvarado](#/player/665660) | 30 | 1.7 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Drew Rom](#/player/680723) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| STL | [Riley O'Brien](#/player/676617) | 72 | 16.7 | 19 | Owns it |
| [George Soriano](#/player/666277) | 28 | 1.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Ryne Stanek](#/player/592773) | 23 | 0.1 | 1 | Deep | |
| LAD | [Tanner Scott](#/player/656945) | 71 | 24.3 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Edwin Díaz](#/player/621242) | 26 | 1.1 | 7 | Next in line | |
| [Evan Phillips](#/player/623465) | 24 | 0.4 | 1 | Deep |
The cutoffs are calibrated to the league, not picked: across the 30 bullpens the top arm's CCS runs from 34 to 82 with a median of 74, so a leader in the 70s with 25-plus points of daylight is a real closer, while a leader in the 40s and 50s with company right behind him is a committee whatever the depth chart says.
Proj SV is the engine's expected saves for the rest of the season, which is the number to trade on, season saves are already banked and tell you about the past. A committee arm with meaningful projected saves is the cheapest source of the scarcest category in the game.
_Confidence scores generated September 27, 2026._
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