10 bullpens have no clear owner of the ninth. Where the saves are actually gettable.
Saves are the category most often decided by a role rather than a skill, so this is the standing read on all 30 bullpens rather than a reaction to any one blown save. CCS is the closer-confidence score: save share over the last 30 and 14 days, leverage, role history, skills and usage. The number that matters is not any single arm's score but the GAP between the top two.
No arm has separated. These are the bullpens worth speculating in, because the cost of the second-best arm is near zero and the payoff if he takes the job is a full closer.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | [Jordan Romano](#/player/605447) | 57 | 10.7 | 13 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Brennan Bernardino](#/player/657514) | 48 | 7.2 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Juan Mejia](#/player/675848) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| CWS | [Grant Taylor](#/player/691799) | 56 | 8.8 | 8 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Bryan Hudson](#/player/663542) | 52 | 7.4 | 5 | Live alternative | |
| [Sean Newcomb](#/player/656794) | 23 | 0.1 | 3 | Deep | |
| LAA | [Ryan Watson](#/player/670245) | 56 | 7.0 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ben Joyce](#/player/690829) | 47 | 4.7 | 5 | Live alternative | |
| [Mitch Farris](#/player/815083) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| CHC | [Ryan Zeferjahn](#/player/666171) | 54 | 15.9 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ryan Rolison](#/player/669020) | 40 | 7.4 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Aaron Civale](#/player/650644) | 27 | 1.3 | 2 | Deep | |
| MIA | [Sandy Alcantara](#/player/645261) | 49 | 9.1 | 2 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Pete Fairbanks](#/player/664126) | 46 | 7.7 | 14 | Live alternative | |
| [Calvin Faucher](#/player/676534) | 28 | 1.2 | 2 | Deep | |
| SF | [Joel Kuhnel](#/player/669270) | 47 | 7.1 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Trent Harris](#/player/805345) | 45 | 6.4 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Dylan Smith](#/player/681916) | 29 | 1.3 | 3 | Deep | |
| BAL | [Rico Garcia](#/player/670329) | 44 | 14.0 | 6 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Andrew Kittredge](#/player/552640) | 44 | 13.8 | 10 | Live alternative | |
| [Josh Walker](#/player/677020) | 23 | 0.2 | 1 | Deep | |
| MIN | [Yoendrys Gómez](#/player/672782) | 43 | 12.3 | 15 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Travis Adams](#/player/701519) | 30 | 3.6 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Andrew Morris](#/player/702193) | 28 | 2.6 | 3 | Deep | |
| ARI | [Jonathan Loáisiga](#/player/642528) | 43 | 3.9 | 1 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Kevin Ginkel](#/player/656464) | 33 | 1.6 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Brandyn Garcia](#/player/805299) | 33 | 1.6 | 4 | Deep | |
| WSH | [Erik Tolman](#/player/680899) | 43 | 18.0 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Jack Sinclair](#/player/695378) | 28 | 3.3 | 1 | Live alternative | |
| [Yovanny Cruz](#/player/672442) | 27 | 3.1 | 1 | Deep |
A clear leader with a live arm behind him. Rosterable, but the handcuff is worth more here than anywhere else.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | [Josh Hader](#/player/623352) | 70 | 14.9 | 19 | Has it for now |
| [Bryan Abreu](#/player/650556) | 41 | 4.6 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [AJ Blubaugh](#/player/805123) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| MIL | [Trevor Megill](#/player/656730) | 67 | 20.9 | 21 | Has it for now |
| [Aaron Ashby](#/player/676879) | 33 | 3.2 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Chad Patrick](#/player/694477) | 26 | 0.8 | 2 | Deep | |
| KC | [Steven Cruz](#/player/674444) | 62 | 15.0 | 8 | Has it for now |
| [Nate Pearson](#/player/663878) | 30 | 1.9 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Alex Lange](#/player/656638) | 27 | 1.0 | 9 | Deep | |
| BOS | [Aroldis Chapman](#/player/547973) | 61 | 21.9 | 23 | Has it for now |
| [Garrett Whitlock](#/player/676477) | 32 | 3.8 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Erik Miller](#/player/669062) | 27 | 1.6 | 3 | Deep | |
| NYM | [Kodai Senga](#/player/673540) | 57 | 13.4 | 8 | Has it for now |
| [Dedniel Núñez](#/player/673380) | 36 | 4.1 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Devin Williams](#/player/642207) | 32 | 2.5 | 14 | Deep |
Wide separation at the top. Pay for the closer, ignore the handcuff.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | [Emilio Pagán](#/player/641941) | 81 | 24.2 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Brock Burke](#/player/656271) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Tejay Antone](#/player/622088) | 19 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| TOR | [Louis Varland](#/player/686973) | 81 | 26.4 | 21 | Owns it |
| [Spencer Miles](#/player/693686) | 27 | 1.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Paul Sewald](#/player/623149) | 26 | 0.7 | 9 | Deep | |
| NYY | [David Bednar](#/player/670280) | 80 | 21.1 | 21 | Owns it |
| [John Schreiber](#/player/670167) | 33 | 2.3 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Tim Hill](#/player/657612) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| CLE | [Cade Smith](#/player/671922) | 80 | 14.0 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Erik Sabrowski](#/player/681870) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Daniel Espino](#/player/682982) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| DET | [Kenley Jansen](#/player/445276) | 80 | 18.7 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Holton](#/player/663947) | 21 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Kinley](#/player/641755) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| TEX | [Jacob Latz](#/player/656641) | 79 | 16.9 | 21 | Owns it |
| [Jordan Montgomery](#/player/656756) | 32 | 1.8 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Jakob Junis](#/player/596001) | 27 | 0.8 | 3 | Deep | |
| SD | [Mason Miller](#/player/695243) | 79 | 17.2 | 17 | Owns it |
| [Yuki Matsui](#/player/673513) | 29 | 1.1 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Adrian Morejon](#/player/670970) | 25 | 0.4 | 2 | Deep | |
| PIT | [Mason Montgomery](#/player/682254) | 79 | 20.4 | 17 | Owns it |
| [Gregory Soto](#/player/642397) | 35 | 3.0 | 5 | Next in line | |
| [Luke Weaver](#/player/596133) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| ATL | [Raisel Iglesias](#/player/628452) | 77 | 19.9 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Dylan Dodd](#/player/689266) | 29 | 1.3 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Didier Fuentes](#/player/800311) | 26 | 0.6 | 2 | Deep | |
| STL | [Riley O'Brien](#/player/676617) | 74 | 15.8 | 19 | Owns it |
| [George Soriano](#/player/666277) | 32 | 1.8 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Ryne Stanek](#/player/592773) | 25 | 0.3 | 1 | Deep | |
| SEA | [Andrés Muñoz](#/player/662253) | 73 | 14.7 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Eduard Bazardo](#/player/660825) | 35 | 2.5 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Carlos Vargas](#/player/672841) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| PHI | [Jhoan Duran](#/player/661395) | 73 | 24.2 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Jonathan Bowlan](#/player/680742) | 20 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Chase Shugart](#/player/663767) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| ATH | [Hogan Harris](#/player/663687) | 73 | 18.6 | 11 | Owns it |
| [Elvis Alvarado](#/player/665660) | 30 | 1.7 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Geoff Hartlieb](#/player/664129) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| TB | [Bryan Baker](#/player/641329) | 72 | 23.8 | 22 | Owns it |
| [Cole Sulser](#/player/642121) | 34 | 3.5 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Wells](#/player/669330) | 21 | 0.0 | 6 | Deep | |
| LAD | [Tanner Scott](#/player/656945) | 71 | 24.3 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Edwin Díaz](#/player/621242) | 26 | 1.1 | 7 | Next in line | |
| [Evan Phillips](#/player/623465) | 24 | 0.4 | 1 | Deep |
The cutoffs are calibrated to the league, not picked: across the 30 bullpens the top arm's CCS runs from 34 to 82 with a median of 74, so a leader in the 70s with 25-plus points of daylight is a real closer, while a leader in the 40s and 50s with company right behind him is a committee whatever the depth chart says.
Proj SV is the engine's expected saves for the rest of the season, which is the number to trade on, season saves are already banked and tell you about the past. A committee arm with meaningful projected saves is the cheapest source of the scarcest category in the game.
_Confidence scores generated September 26, 2026._
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