9 bullpens have no clear owner of the ninth. Where the saves are actually gettable.
Saves are the category most often decided by a role rather than a skill, so this is the standing read on all 30 bullpens rather than a reaction to any one blown save. CCS is the closer-confidence score: save share over the last 30 and 14 days, leverage, role history, skills and usage. The number that matters is not any single arm's score but the GAP between the top two.
No arm has separated. These are the bullpens worth speculating in, because the cost of the second-best arm is near zero and the payoff if he takes the job is a full closer.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | [Hogan Harris](#/player/663687) | 59 | 12.2 | 10 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Elvis Alvarado](#/player/665660) | 47 | 7.3 | 4 | Live alternative | |
| [Scott Blewett](#/player/656240) | 19 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| KC | [Steven Cruz](#/player/674444) | 57 | 10.9 | 7 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Nate Pearson](#/player/663878) | 44 | 5.9 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Alex Lange](#/player/656638) | 31 | 1.9 | 10 | Deep | |
| CWS | [Grant Taylor](#/player/691799) | 55 | 10.8 | 9 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Bryan Hudson](#/player/663542) | 44 | 6.3 | 5 | Live alternative | |
| [Sean Newcomb](#/player/656794) | 21 | 0.0 | 3 | Deep | |
| MIA | [Pete Fairbanks](#/player/664126) | 52 | 10.0 | 14 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Sandy Alcantara](#/player/645261) | 39 | 4.7 | 1 | Live alternative | |
| [Calvin Faucher](#/player/676534) | 32 | 2.5 | 2 | Deep | |
| BAL | [Rico Garcia](#/player/670329) | 52 | 17.9 | 6 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Andrew Kittredge](#/player/552640) | 38 | 7.6 | 9 | Live alternative | |
| [Yennier Cano](#/player/666974) | 25 | 1.1 | 3 | Deep | |
| CHC | [Ryan Zeferjahn](#/player/666171) | 46 | 11.3 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ryan Rolison](#/player/669020) | 45 | 10.7 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Aaron Civale](#/player/650644) | 28 | 1.8 | 2 | Deep | |
| MIN | [Yoendrys Gómez](#/player/672782) | 44 | 11.7 | 16 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Travis Adams](#/player/701519) | 31 | 3.8 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [A.J. Minter](#/player/621345) | 29 | 2.7 | 1 | Deep | |
| SF | [Trent Harris](#/player/805345) | 43 | 6.6 | 2 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Joel Kuhnel](#/player/669270) | 43 | 6.4 | 4 | Live alternative | |
| [Dylan Smith](#/player/681916) | 28 | 1.2 | 3 | Deep | |
| ARI | [Kevin Ginkel](#/player/656464) | 38 | 2.9 | 3 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Juan Morillo](#/player/666661) | 35 | 2.3 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Brandyn Garcia](#/player/805299) | 35 | 2.3 | 4 | Deep |
A clear leader with a live arm behind him. Rosterable, but the handcuff is worth more here than anywhere else.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | [Trevor Megill](#/player/656730) | 69 | 21.6 | 21 | Has it for now |
| [Chad Patrick](#/player/694477) | 29 | 1.9 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Aaron Ashby](#/player/676879) | 28 | 1.5 | 3 | Deep | |
| TB | [Bryan Baker](#/player/641329) | 68 | 21.9 | 22 | Has it for now |
| [Cole Sulser](#/player/642121) | 36 | 4.7 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Wells](#/player/669330) | 28 | 1.5 | 6 | Deep | |
| LAD | [Tanner Scott](#/player/656945) | 68 | 25.0 | 15 | Has it for now |
| [Jack Dreyer](#/player/676263) | 25 | 0.6 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Edwin Díaz](#/player/621242) | 22 | 0.1 | 7 | Deep | |
| BOS | [Aroldis Chapman](#/player/547973) | 64 | 19.8 | 23 | Has it for now |
| [Garrett Whitlock](#/player/676477) | 35 | 4.2 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Erik Miller](#/player/669062) | 30 | 2.4 | 3 | Deep | |
| LAA | [Ben Joyce](#/player/690829) | 59 | 7.9 | 5 | Has it for now |
| [Ryan Watson](#/player/670245) | 40 | 3.1 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [José Fermin](#/player/820862) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| COL | [Jordan Romano](#/player/605447) | 58 | 12.6 | 14 | Has it for now |
| [Brennan Bernardino](#/player/657514) | 42 | 6.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Jimmy Herget](#/player/623474) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| NYM | [Kodai Senga](#/player/673540) | 57 | 15.7 | 8 | Has it for now |
| [Dedniel Núñez](#/player/673380) | 31 | 2.7 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Tobias Myers](#/player/668964) | 29 | 2.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| WSH | [Erik Tolman](#/player/680899) | 56 | 19.8 | 4 | Has it for now |
| [Jack Sinclair](#/player/695378) | 29 | 2.7 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Will Dion](#/player/702021) | 29 | 2.5 | 1 | Deep |
Wide separation at the top. Pay for the closer, ignore the handcuff.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | [David Bednar](#/player/670280) | 82 | 21.8 | 21 | Owns it |
| [John Schreiber](#/player/670167) | 30 | 1.6 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Ryan Yarbrough](#/player/642232) | 23 | 0.1 | 3 | Deep | |
| CIN | [Emilio Pagán](#/player/641941) | 81 | 24.2 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Brock Burke](#/player/656271) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Tejay Antone](#/player/622088) | 19 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| CLE | [Cade Smith](#/player/671922) | 80 | 14.6 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Erik Sabrowski](#/player/681870) | 24 | 0.2 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Hunter Gaddis](#/player/683769) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| SEA | [Andrés Muñoz](#/player/662253) | 80 | 16.1 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Eduard Bazardo](#/player/660825) | 29 | 1.1 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Carlos Vargas](#/player/672841) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| TEX | [Jacob Latz](#/player/656641) | 80 | 19.4 | 23 | Owns it |
| [Jakob Junis](#/player/596001) | 27 | 0.9 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Robert Garcia](#/player/676395) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| HOU | [Josh Hader](#/player/623352) | 79 | 18.4 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Bryan Abreu](#/player/650556) | 24 | 0.3 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [AJ Blubaugh](#/player/805123) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| ATL | [Raisel Iglesias](#/player/628452) | 78 | 20.2 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Didier Fuentes](#/player/800311) | 25 | 0.4 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Dylan Dodd](#/player/689266) | 25 | 0.4 | 1 | Deep | |
| PIT | [Mason Montgomery](#/player/682254) | 77 | 19.9 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Gregory Soto](#/player/642397) | 34 | 2.6 | 5 | Next in line | |
| [Yohan Ramírez](#/player/670990) | 23 | 0.1 | 1 | Deep | |
| DET | [Kenley Jansen](#/player/445276) | 77 | 17.2 | 14 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Holton](#/player/663947) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Kinley](#/player/641755) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| STL | [Riley O'Brien](#/player/676617) | 76 | 16.1 | 19 | Owns it |
| [George Soriano](#/player/666277) | 32 | 1.8 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Ryne Stanek](#/player/592773) | 22 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| TOR | [Louis Varland](#/player/686973) | 76 | 23.4 | 21 | Owns it |
| [Spencer Miles](#/player/693686) | 34 | 3.4 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Paul Sewald](#/player/623149) | 28 | 1.3 | 9 | Deep | |
| PHI | [Jhoan Duran](#/player/661395) | 74 | 24.7 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Jonathan Bowlan](#/player/680742) | 24 | 0.3 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Alex McFarlane](#/player/686934) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| SD | [Mason Miller](#/player/695243) | 73 | 19.0 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Adrian Morejon](#/player/670970) | 27 | 0.8 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Bradgley Rodriguez](#/player/699134) | 26 | 0.6 | 2 | Deep |
The cutoffs are calibrated to the league, not picked: across the 30 bullpens the top arm's CCS runs from 34 to 82 with a median of 74, so a leader in the 70s with 25-plus points of daylight is a real closer, while a leader in the 40s and 50s with company right behind him is a committee whatever the depth chart says.
Proj SV is the engine's expected saves for the rest of the season, which is the number to trade on, season saves are already banked and tell you about the past. A committee arm with meaningful projected saves is the cheapest source of the scarcest category in the game.
_Confidence scores generated September 22, 2026._
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