10 bullpens have no clear owner of the ninth. Where the saves are actually gettable.
Saves are the category most often decided by a role rather than a skill, so this is the standing read on all 30 bullpens rather than a reaction to any one blown save. CCS is the closer-confidence score: save share over the last 30 and 14 days, leverage, role history, skills and usage. The number that matters is not any single arm's score but the GAP between the top two.
No arm has separated. These are the bullpens worth speculating in, because the cost of the second-best arm is near zero and the payoff if he takes the job is a full closer.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | [Jordan Romano](#/player/605447) | 58 | 12.0 | 14 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Brennan Bernardino](#/player/657514) | 45 | 6.7 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Jimmy Herget](#/player/623474) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| CWS | [Grant Taylor](#/player/691799) | 58 | 11.2 | 9 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Bryan Hudson](#/player/663542) | 44 | 6.0 | 5 | Live alternative | |
| [Sean Newcomb](#/player/656794) | 21 | 0.0 | 3 | Deep | |
| LAA | [Ben Joyce](#/player/690829) | 56 | 6.5 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ryan Watson](#/player/670245) | 48 | 4.5 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Blake Weiman](#/player/676620) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| KC | [Steven Cruz](#/player/674444) | 54 | 11.7 | 7 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Nate Pearson](#/player/663878) | 41 | 6.0 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Craig Kimbrel](#/player/518886) | 25 | 0.6 | 1 | Deep | |
| BAL | [Rico Garcia](#/player/670329) | 50 | 15.7 | 6 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Andrew Kittredge](#/player/552640) | 41 | 9.3 | 9 | Live alternative | |
| [Yennier Cano](#/player/666974) | 25 | 1.0 | 3 | Deep | |
| MIN | [Yoendrys Gómez](#/player/672782) | 50 | 12.5 | 16 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Travis Adams](#/player/701519) | 33 | 3.9 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [A.J. Minter](#/player/621345) | 31 | 2.9 | 1 | Deep | |
| MIA | [Pete Fairbanks](#/player/664126) | 50 | 9.0 | 14 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Calvin Faucher](#/player/676534) | 38 | 4.4 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Sandy Alcantara](#/player/645261) | 36 | 3.8 | 1 | Deep | |
| CHC | [Ryan Zeferjahn](#/player/666171) | 46 | 11.4 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ryan Rolison](#/player/669020) | 45 | 10.6 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Aaron Civale](#/player/650644) | 28 | 1.8 | 2 | Deep | |
| SF | [Joel Kuhnel](#/player/669270) | 45 | 7.0 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Trent Harris](#/player/805345) | 43 | 6.2 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Dylan Smith](#/player/681916) | 28 | 1.1 | 3 | Deep | |
| ARI | [Dennis Santana](#/player/642701) | 40 | 2.5 | 1 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Kevin Ginkel](#/player/656464) | 38 | 2.1 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Brandyn Garcia](#/player/805299) | 35 | 1.6 | 4 | Deep |
A clear leader with a live arm behind him. Rosterable, but the handcuff is worth more here than anywhere else.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | [Jhoan Duran](#/player/661395) | 70 | 24.5 | 16 | Has it for now |
| [Jonathan Bowlan](#/player/680742) | 24 | 0.5 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Brooks Raley](#/player/548384) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| MIL | [Trevor Megill](#/player/656730) | 69 | 20.4 | 21 | Has it for now |
| [Aaron Ashby](#/player/676879) | 33 | 3.1 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Chad Patrick](#/player/694477) | 28 | 1.4 | 3 | Deep | |
| TB | [Bryan Baker](#/player/641329) | 68 | 21.9 | 22 | Has it for now |
| [Cole Sulser](#/player/642121) | 36 | 4.6 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Wells](#/player/669330) | 28 | 1.5 | 6 | Deep | |
| LAD | [Tanner Scott](#/player/656945) | 68 | 22.8 | 15 | Has it for now |
| [Evan Phillips](#/player/623465) | 31 | 2.8 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Edwin Díaz](#/player/621242) | 22 | 0.1 | 7 | Deep | |
| BOS | [Aroldis Chapman](#/player/547973) | 62 | 18.6 | 23 | Has it for now |
| [Garrett Whitlock](#/player/676477) | 41 | 6.9 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Erik Miller](#/player/669062) | 26 | 1.0 | 3 | Deep | |
| ATH | [Elvis Alvarado](#/player/665660) | 57 | 12.7 | 4 | Has it for now |
| [Hogan Harris](#/player/663687) | 42 | 6.0 | 9 | Next in line | |
| [Chris Roycroft](#/player/688297) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| NYM | [Kodai Senga](#/player/673540) | 52 | 12.2 | 7 | Has it for now |
| [Tobias Myers](#/player/668964) | 34 | 3.8 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Dedniel Núñez](#/player/673380) | 34 | 3.5 | 1 | Deep | |
| WSH | [Erik Tolman](#/player/680899) | 52 | 16.9 | 3 | Has it for now |
| [Jack Sinclair](#/player/695378) | 31 | 3.7 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Will Dion](#/player/702021) | 31 | 3.6 | 1 | Deep |
Wide separation at the top. Pay for the closer, ignore the handcuff.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | [Jacob Latz](#/player/656641) | 82 | 19.9 | 23 | Owns it |
| [Jakob Junis](#/player/596001) | 25 | 0.4 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Robert Garcia](#/player/676395) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| ATL | [Raisel Iglesias](#/player/628452) | 81 | 20.6 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Dylan Dodd](#/player/689266) | 25 | 0.4 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Didier Fuentes](#/player/800311) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| SEA | [Andrés Muñoz](#/player/662253) | 80 | 16.1 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Eduard Bazardo](#/player/660825) | 29 | 1.1 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Carlos Vargas](#/player/672841) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| CLE | [Cade Smith](#/player/671922) | 80 | 14.0 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Erik Sabrowski](#/player/681870) | 22 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Hunter Gaddis](#/player/683769) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| NYY | [David Bednar](#/player/670280) | 80 | 21.3 | 21 | Owns it |
| [John Schreiber](#/player/670167) | 32 | 2.2 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Tim Hill](#/player/657612) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| CIN | [Emilio Pagán](#/player/641941) | 79 | 25.0 | 20 | Owns it |
| [Pierce Johnson](#/player/572955) | 19 | 0.0 | 0 | Next in line | |
| [Julian Garcia](#/player/670062) | 19 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| PIT | [Mason Montgomery](#/player/682254) | 79 | 21.6 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Gregory Soto](#/player/642397) | 27 | 0.9 | 5 | Next in line | |
| [Yohan Ramírez](#/player/670990) | 23 | 0.1 | 1 | Deep | |
| HOU | [Josh Hader](#/player/623352) | 79 | 18.0 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Bryan Abreu](#/player/650556) | 27 | 0.7 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [AJ Blubaugh](#/player/805123) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| DET | [Kenley Jansen](#/player/445276) | 77 | 17.2 | 14 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Holton](#/player/663947) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Beau Brieske](#/player/689225) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| TOR | [Louis Varland](#/player/686973) | 77 | 23.7 | 21 | Owns it |
| [Spencer Miles](#/player/693686) | 34 | 3.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Paul Sewald](#/player/623149) | 28 | 1.3 | 9 | Deep | |
| STL | [Riley O'Brien](#/player/676617) | 76 | 15.3 | 19 | Owns it |
| [George Soriano](#/player/666277) | 35 | 2.3 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Ryne Stanek](#/player/592773) | 25 | 0.3 | 1 | Deep | |
| SD | [Mason Miller](#/player/695243) | 76 | 18.7 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Adrian Morejon](#/player/670970) | 28 | 1.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Yuki Matsui](#/player/673513) | 27 | 0.8 | 1 | Deep |
The cutoffs are calibrated to the league, not picked: across the 30 bullpens the top arm's CCS runs from 34 to 82 with a median of 74, so a leader in the 70s with 25-plus points of daylight is a real closer, while a leader in the 40s and 50s with company right behind him is a committee whatever the depth chart says.
Proj SV is the engine's expected saves for the rest of the season, which is the number to trade on, season saves are already banked and tell you about the past. A committee arm with meaningful projected saves is the cheapest source of the scarcest category in the game.
_Confidence scores generated September 21, 2026._
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