8 bullpens have no clear owner of the ninth. Where the saves are actually gettable.
Saves are the category most often decided by a role rather than a skill, so this is the standing read on all 30 bullpens rather than a reaction to any one blown save. CCS is the closer-confidence score: save share over the last 30 and 14 days, leverage, role history, skills and usage. The number that matters is not any single arm's score but the GAP between the top two.
No arm has separated. These are the bullpens worth speculating in, because the cost of the second-best arm is near zero and the payoff if he takes the job is a full closer.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS | [Grant Taylor](#/player/691799) | 58 | 10.5 | 9 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Bryan Hudson](#/player/663542) | 46 | 6.5 | 5 | Live alternative | |
| [Sean Newcomb](#/player/656794) | 23 | 0.1 | 3 | Deep | |
| LAA | [Ben Joyce](#/player/690829) | 56 | 6.5 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ryan Watson](#/player/670245) | 48 | 4.5 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Blake Weiman](#/player/676620) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| KC | [Steven Cruz](#/player/674444) | 51 | 10.7 | 7 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Nate Pearson](#/player/663878) | 44 | 7.3 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Alex Lange](#/player/656638) | 25 | 0.5 | 10 | Deep | |
| MIN | [Yoendrys Gómez](#/player/672782) | 50 | 12.6 | 16 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Travis Adams](#/player/701519) | 33 | 3.7 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [A.J. Minter](#/player/621345) | 31 | 2.9 | 1 | Deep | |
| MIA | [Pete Fairbanks](#/player/664126) | 50 | 9.0 | 14 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Calvin Faucher](#/player/676534) | 38 | 4.4 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Sandy Alcantara](#/player/645261) | 36 | 3.8 | 1 | Deep | |
| BAL | [Rico Garcia](#/player/670329) | 48 | 12.8 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Andrew Kittredge](#/player/552640) | 44 | 10.4 | 9 | Live alternative | |
| [Josh Walker](#/player/677020) | 27 | 1.7 | 1 | Deep | |
| ARI | [Kevin Ginkel](#/player/656464) | 48 | 3.5 | 3 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Brandyn Garcia](#/player/805299) | 35 | 1.4 | 4 | Live alternative | |
| [Dennis Santana](#/player/642701) | 35 | 1.4 | 1 | Deep | |
| CHC | [Ryan Zeferjahn](#/player/666171) | 46 | 11.0 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ryan Rolison](#/player/669020) | 45 | 10.3 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Aaron Civale](#/player/650644) | 28 | 1.7 | 2 | Deep |
A clear leader with a live arm behind him. Rosterable, but the handcuff is worth more here than anywhere else.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | [Jhoan Duran](#/player/661395) | 70 | 24.5 | 16 | Has it for now |
| [Jonathan Bowlan](#/player/680742) | 24 | 0.5 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Brooks Raley](#/player/548384) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| TB | [Bryan Baker](#/player/641329) | 68 | 21.9 | 22 | Has it for now |
| [Cole Sulser](#/player/642121) | 36 | 4.6 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Wells](#/player/669330) | 28 | 1.5 | 6 | Deep | |
| BOS | [Aroldis Chapman](#/player/547973) | 66 | 19.9 | 23 | Has it for now |
| [Garrett Whitlock](#/player/676477) | 38 | 5.3 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Erik Miller](#/player/669062) | 28 | 1.4 | 3 | Deep | |
| LAD | [Tanner Scott](#/player/656945) | 64 | 21.7 | 15 | Has it for now |
| [Evan Phillips](#/player/623465) | 30 | 2.3 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Edgardo Henriquez](#/player/683618) | 28 | 1.7 | 2 | Deep | |
| COL | [Jordan Romano](#/player/605447) | 60 | 12.4 | 14 | Has it for now |
| [Brennan Bernardino](#/player/657514) | 45 | 6.4 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Jimmy Herget](#/player/623474) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| ATH | [Elvis Alvarado](#/player/665660) | 57 | 12.7 | 4 | Has it for now |
| [Hogan Harris](#/player/663687) | 42 | 6.0 | 9 | Next in line | |
| [Chris Roycroft](#/player/688297) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| NYM | [Kodai Senga](#/player/673540) | 56 | 13.7 | 7 | Has it for now |
| [Tobias Myers](#/player/668964) | 33 | 3.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Dedniel Núñez](#/player/673380) | 32 | 2.8 | 1 | Deep | |
| WSH | [Erik Tolman](#/player/680899) | 52 | 16.9 | 3 | Has it for now |
| [Jack Sinclair](#/player/695378) | 31 | 3.7 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Will Dion](#/player/702021) | 31 | 3.6 | 1 | Deep | |
| SF | [Joel Kuhnel](#/player/669270) | 51 | 9.0 | 4 | Has it for now |
| [Trent Harris](#/player/805345) | 34 | 2.9 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Dylan Smith](#/player/681916) | 29 | 1.4 | 3 | Deep |
Wide separation at the top. Pay for the closer, ignore the handcuff.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | [Emilio Pagán](#/player/641941) | 82 | 25.0 | 20 | Owns it |
| [Brock Burke](#/player/656271) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Tejay Antone](#/player/622088) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| ATL | [Raisel Iglesias](#/player/628452) | 81 | 20.4 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Didier Fuentes](#/player/800311) | 25 | 0.4 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Dylan Dodd](#/player/689266) | 24 | 0.2 | 1 | Deep | |
| TEX | [Jacob Latz](#/player/656641) | 80 | 18.5 | 23 | Owns it |
| [Jakob Junis](#/player/596001) | 32 | 1.7 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Robert Garcia](#/player/676395) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| SEA | [Andrés Muñoz](#/player/662253) | 80 | 16.4 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Eduard Bazardo](#/player/660825) | 28 | 0.8 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Carlos Vargas](#/player/672841) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| CLE | [Cade Smith](#/player/671922) | 80 | 14.0 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Erik Sabrowski](#/player/681870) | 22 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Hunter Gaddis](#/player/683769) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| NYY | [David Bednar](#/player/670280) | 80 | 21.5 | 21 | Owns it |
| [John Schreiber](#/player/670167) | 31 | 1.8 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Ryan Yarbrough](#/player/642232) | 23 | 0.1 | 3 | Deep | |
| DET | [Kenley Jansen](#/player/445276) | 80 | 17.2 | 14 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Holton](#/player/663947) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Kinley](#/player/641755) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| PIT | [Mason Montgomery](#/player/682254) | 79 | 21.3 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Gregory Soto](#/player/642397) | 29 | 1.4 | 5 | Next in line | |
| [Luke Weaver](#/player/596133) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| HOU | [Josh Hader](#/player/623352) | 79 | 18.1 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Bryan Abreu](#/player/650556) | 26 | 0.6 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [AJ Blubaugh](#/player/805123) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| SD | [Mason Miller](#/player/695243) | 77 | 18.9 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Adrian Morejon](#/player/670970) | 28 | 1.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Yuki Matsui](#/player/673513) | 26 | 0.7 | 1 | Deep | |
| TOR | [Louis Varland](#/player/686973) | 77 | 23.7 | 21 | Owns it |
| [Spencer Miles](#/player/693686) | 34 | 3.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Paul Sewald](#/player/623149) | 28 | 1.3 | 9 | Deep | |
| STL | [Riley O'Brien](#/player/676617) | 73 | 14.4 | 19 | Owns it |
| [George Soriano](#/player/666277) | 38 | 3.2 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Ryne Stanek](#/player/592773) | 25 | 0.3 | 1 | Deep | |
| MIL | [Trevor Megill](#/player/656730) | 70 | 20.9 | 21 | Owns it |
| [Aaron Ashby](#/player/676879) | 32 | 2.8 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Chad Patrick](#/player/694477) | 28 | 1.3 | 3 | Deep |
The cutoffs are calibrated to the league, not picked: across the 30 bullpens the top arm's CCS runs from 34 to 82 with a median of 74, so a leader in the 70s with 25-plus points of daylight is a real closer, while a leader in the 40s and 50s with company right behind him is a committee whatever the depth chart says.
Proj SV is the engine's expected saves for the rest of the season, which is the number to trade on, season saves are already banked and tell you about the past. A committee arm with meaningful projected saves is the cheapest source of the scarcest category in the game.
_Confidence scores generated September 20, 2026._
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