7 bullpens have no clear owner of the ninth. Where the saves are actually gettable.
Saves are the category most often decided by a role rather than a skill, so this is the standing read on all 30 bullpens rather than a reaction to any one blown save. CCS is the closer-confidence score: save share over the last 30 and 14 days, leverage, role history, skills and usage. The number that matters is not any single arm's score but the GAP between the top two.
No arm has separated. These are the bullpens worth speculating in, because the cost of the second-best arm is near zero and the payoff if he takes the job is a full closer.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | [Ben Joyce](#/player/690829) | 56 | 6.5 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ryan Watson](#/player/670245) | 48 | 4.5 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Blake Weiman](#/player/676620) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| CWS | [Grant Taylor](#/player/691799) | 55 | 10.1 | 9 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Bryan Hudson](#/player/663542) | 46 | 6.9 | 5 | Live alternative | |
| [Sean Newcomb](#/player/656794) | 23 | 0.2 | 3 | Deep | |
| KC | [Steven Cruz](#/player/674444) | 51 | 9.2 | 7 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Nate Pearson](#/player/663878) | 46 | 7.2 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Alex Lange](#/player/656638) | 31 | 2.1 | 10 | Deep | |
| CHC | [Ryan Zeferjahn](#/player/666171) | 50 | 12.9 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ryan Rolison](#/player/669020) | 42 | 8.4 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Aaron Civale](#/player/650644) | 28 | 1.7 | 2 | Deep | |
| MIA | [Pete Fairbanks](#/player/664126) | 50 | 9.7 | 14 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Calvin Faucher](#/player/676534) | 38 | 4.8 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Sandy Alcantara](#/player/645261) | 32 | 2.7 | 1 | Deep | |
| BAL | [Rico Garcia](#/player/670329) | 48 | 12.8 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Andrew Kittredge](#/player/552640) | 44 | 10.4 | 9 | Live alternative | |
| [Josh Walker](#/player/677020) | 27 | 1.7 | 1 | Deep | |
| ARI | [Kevin Ginkel](#/player/656464) | 44 | 3.1 | 3 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Brandyn Garcia](#/player/805299) | 43 | 3.0 | 5 | Live alternative | |
| [Juan Morillo](#/player/666661) | 34 | 1.5 | 2 | Deep |
A clear leader with a live arm behind him. Rosterable, but the handcuff is worth more here than anywhere else.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | [Riley O'Brien](#/player/676617) | 69 | 13.6 | 19 | Has it for now |
| [George Soriano](#/player/666277) | 40 | 4.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Ryne Stanek](#/player/592773) | 25 | 0.3 | 1 | Deep | |
| TB | [Bryan Baker](#/player/641329) | 68 | 21.9 | 22 | Has it for now |
| [Cole Sulser](#/player/642121) | 36 | 4.6 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Wells](#/player/669330) | 28 | 1.5 | 6 | Deep | |
| MIL | [Trevor Megill](#/player/656730) | 68 | 19.3 | 20 | Has it for now |
| [Aaron Ashby](#/player/676879) | 33 | 2.9 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Chad Patrick](#/player/694477) | 29 | 1.7 | 3 | Deep | |
| BOS | [Aroldis Chapman](#/player/547973) | 66 | 19.9 | 23 | Has it for now |
| [Garrett Whitlock](#/player/676477) | 38 | 5.3 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Erik Miller](#/player/669062) | 28 | 1.4 | 3 | Deep | |
| LAD | [Tanner Scott](#/player/656945) | 63 | 21.1 | 15 | Has it for now |
| [Evan Phillips](#/player/623465) | 30 | 2.6 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Edgardo Henriquez](#/player/683618) | 29 | 2.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| ATH | [Elvis Alvarado](#/player/665660) | 57 | 12.8 | 4 | Has it for now |
| [Hogan Harris](#/player/663687) | 42 | 6.0 | 9 | Next in line | |
| [Geoff Hartlieb](#/player/664129) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| MIN | [Yoendrys Gómez](#/player/672782) | 57 | 13.6 | 16 | Has it for now |
| [Travis Adams](#/player/701519) | 34 | 3.3 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [A.J. Minter](#/player/621345) | 32 | 2.7 | 1 | Deep | |
| NYM | [Kodai Senga](#/player/673540) | 54 | 14.1 | 7 | Has it for now |
| [Dedniel Núñez](#/player/673380) | 32 | 3.1 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Tobias Myers](#/player/668964) | 30 | 2.4 | 2 | Deep | |
| WSH | [Erik Tolman](#/player/680899) | 52 | 16.9 | 3 | Has it for now |
| [Jack Sinclair](#/player/695378) | 31 | 3.7 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Will Dion](#/player/702021) | 31 | 3.6 | 1 | Deep | |
| SF | [Joel Kuhnel](#/player/669270) | 51 | 10.1 | 4 | Has it for now |
| [Trent Harris](#/player/805345) | 32 | 2.4 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Carson Seymour](#/player/693313) | 26 | 0.8 | 1 | Deep |
Wide separation at the top. Pay for the closer, ignore the handcuff.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | [Emilio Pagán](#/player/641941) | 82 | 25.0 | 20 | Owns it |
| [Tony Santillan](#/player/663574) | 20 | 0.0 | 5 | Next in line | |
| [Brock Burke](#/player/656271) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| HOU | [Josh Hader](#/player/623352) | 81 | 18.1 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Bryan Abreu](#/player/650556) | 26 | 0.6 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [AJ Blubaugh](#/player/805123) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| ATL | [Raisel Iglesias](#/player/628452) | 81 | 19.9 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Didier Fuentes](#/player/800311) | 25 | 0.4 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Victor Mederos](#/player/682989) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| SEA | [Andrés Muñoz](#/player/662253) | 81 | 17.2 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Carlos Vargas](#/player/672841) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Next in line | |
| [Gabe Speier](#/player/642100) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| TEX | [Jacob Latz](#/player/656641) | 80 | 18.3 | 23 | Owns it |
| [Jakob Junis](#/player/596001) | 33 | 2.0 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Robert Garcia](#/player/676395) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| CLE | [Cade Smith](#/player/671922) | 80 | 14.0 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Erik Sabrowski](#/player/681870) | 22 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Hunter Gaddis](#/player/683769) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| DET | [Kenley Jansen](#/player/445276) | 80 | 17.2 | 14 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Kinley](#/player/641755) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Holton](#/player/663947) | 20 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| TOR | [Louis Varland](#/player/686973) | 78 | 27.1 | 22 | Owns it |
| [Paul Sewald](#/player/623149) | 28 | 1.7 | 10 | Next in line | |
| [Spencer Miles](#/player/693686) | 26 | 0.9 | 2 | Deep | |
| NYY | [David Bednar](#/player/670280) | 77 | 21.4 | 21 | Owns it |
| [John Schreiber](#/player/670167) | 27 | 1.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Ryan Yarbrough](#/player/642232) | 27 | 1.0 | 3 | Deep | |
| SD | [Mason Miller](#/player/695243) | 77 | 18.9 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Adrian Morejon](#/player/670970) | 28 | 1.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Yuki Matsui](#/player/673513) | 26 | 0.7 | 1 | Deep | |
| PIT | [Mason Montgomery](#/player/682254) | 76 | 20.1 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Gregory Soto](#/player/642397) | 30 | 1.6 | 5 | Next in line | |
| [Yohan Ramírez](#/player/670990) | 23 | 0.2 | 1 | Deep | |
| PHI | [Jhoan Duran](#/player/661395) | 72 | 23.8 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Jonathan Bowlan](#/player/680742) | 27 | 1.2 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Brooks Raley](#/player/548384) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| COL | [Jordan Romano](#/player/605447) | 70 | 15.2 | 14 | Owns it |
| [Brennan Bernardino](#/player/657514) | 38 | 3.5 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Jaden Hill](#/player/677955) | 21 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep |
The cutoffs are calibrated to the league, not picked: across the 30 bullpens the top arm's CCS runs from 34 to 82 with a median of 74, so a leader in the 70s with 25-plus points of daylight is a real closer, while a leader in the 40s and 50s with company right behind him is a committee whatever the depth chart says.
Proj SV is the engine's expected saves for the rest of the season, which is the number to trade on, season saves are already banked and tell you about the past. A committee arm with meaningful projected saves is the cheapest source of the scarcest category in the game.
_Confidence scores generated September 19, 2026._
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