9 bullpens have no clear owner of the ninth. Where the saves are actually gettable.
Saves are the category most often decided by a role rather than a skill, so this is the standing read on all 30 bullpens rather than a reaction to any one blown save. CCS is the closer-confidence score: save share over the last 30 and 14 days, leverage, role history, skills and usage. The number that matters is not any single arm's score but the GAP between the top two.
No arm has separated. These are the bullpens worth speculating in, because the cost of the second-best arm is near zero and the payoff if he takes the job is a full closer.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | [Ben Joyce](#/player/690829) | 59 | 7.2 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ryan Watson](#/player/670245) | 45 | 3.7 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Samy Natera Jr.](#/player/696519) | 22 | 0.0 | 3 | Deep | |
| ATH | [Hogan Harris](#/player/663687) | 57 | 10.9 | 9 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Elvis Alvarado](#/player/665660) | 49 | 7.8 | 4 | Live alternative | |
| [Chris Roycroft](#/player/688297) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| CWS | [Bryan Hudson](#/player/663542) | 51 | 8.7 | 6 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Grant Taylor](#/player/691799) | 50 | 8.3 | 8 | Live alternative | |
| [Sean Newcomb](#/player/656794) | 23 | 0.1 | 3 | Deep | |
| KC | [Steven Cruz](#/player/674444) | 51 | 9.3 | 7 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Nate Pearson](#/player/663878) | 46 | 7.3 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Alex Lange](#/player/656638) | 31 | 2.2 | 10 | Deep | |
| SF | [Joel Kuhnel](#/player/669270) | 50 | 8.9 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Dylan Smith](#/player/681916) | 33 | 2.8 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Trent Harris](#/player/805345) | 33 | 2.7 | 1 | Deep | |
| MIA | [Pete Fairbanks](#/player/664126) | 50 | 8.5 | 14 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Sandy Alcantara](#/player/645261) | 39 | 4.4 | 1 | Live alternative | |
| [Calvin Faucher](#/player/676534) | 38 | 4.2 | 2 | Deep | |
| CHC | [Ryan Zeferjahn](#/player/666171) | 49 | 13.4 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Aaron Civale](#/player/650644) | 34 | 4.6 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Ryan Rolison](#/player/669020) | 34 | 4.6 | 2 | Deep | |
| BAL | [Rico Garcia](#/player/670329) | 48 | 14.1 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Andrew Kittredge](#/player/552640) | 40 | 8.8 | 9 | Live alternative | |
| [Josh Walker](#/player/677020) | 27 | 1.8 | 1 | Deep | |
| ARI | [Kevin Ginkel](#/player/656464) | 44 | 3.0 | 3 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Brandyn Garcia](#/player/805299) | 43 | 2.8 | 5 | Live alternative | |
| [Juan Morillo](#/player/666661) | 34 | 1.4 | 2 | Deep |
A clear leader with a live arm behind him. Rosterable, but the handcuff is worth more here than anywhere else.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | [Yoendrys Gómez](#/player/672782) | 69 | 17.7 | 17 | Has it for now |
| [A.J. Minter](#/player/621345) | 32 | 2.4 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Andrew Morris](#/player/702193) | 27 | 1.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| NYM | [Kodai Senga](#/player/673540) | 67 | 15.7 | 7 | Has it for now |
| [Tobias Myers](#/player/668964) | 35 | 3.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Devin Williams](#/player/642207) | 26 | 0.7 | 14 | Deep | |
| TB | [Bryan Baker](#/player/641329) | 66 | 21.6 | 23 | Has it for now |
| [Tyler Wells](#/player/669330) | 37 | 5.3 | 6 | Next in line | |
| [Cole Sulser](#/player/642121) | 33 | 3.5 | 3 | Deep | |
| LAD | [Tanner Scott](#/player/656945) | 65 | 22.9 | 16 | Has it for now |
| [Jack Dreyer](#/player/676263) | 27 | 1.5 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Edgardo Henriquez](#/player/683618) | 26 | 1.2 | 2 | Deep | |
| WSH | [Erik Tolman](#/player/680899) | 60 | 19.9 | 3 | Has it for now |
| [Jack Sinclair](#/player/695378) | 32 | 3.5 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Brad Lord](#/player/695418) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep |
Wide separation at the top. Pay for the closer, ignore the handcuff.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | [David Bednar](#/player/670280) | 82 | 22.1 | 21 | Owns it |
| [John Schreiber](#/player/670167) | 29 | 1.3 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Ryan Yarbrough](#/player/642232) | 22 | 0.0 | 3 | Deep | |
| CIN | [Emilio Pagán](#/player/641941) | 81 | 24.2 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Julian Garcia](#/player/670062) | 21 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Tony Santillan](#/player/663574) | 20 | 0.0 | 5 | Deep | |
| HOU | [Josh Hader](#/player/623352) | 81 | 18.2 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Bryan Abreu](#/player/650556) | 26 | 0.5 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [AJ Blubaugh](#/player/805123) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| ATL | [Raisel Iglesias](#/player/628452) | 81 | 19.8 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Didier Fuentes](#/player/800311) | 25 | 0.5 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Brent Suter](#/player/608718) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| TEX | [Jacob Latz](#/player/656641) | 81 | 19.7 | 24 | Owns it |
| [Jakob Junis](#/player/596001) | 33 | 2.1 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Alexander](#/player/641302) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| SEA | [Andrés Muñoz](#/player/662253) | 80 | 16.4 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Cooper Criswell](#/player/681867) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Carlos Vargas](#/player/672841) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| MIL | [Trevor Megill](#/player/656730) | 80 | 22.0 | 20 | Owns it |
| [Garrett Stallings](#/player/668831) | 26 | 0.6 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Aaron Ashby](#/player/676879) | 23 | 0.1 | 2 | Deep | |
| CLE | [Cade Smith](#/player/671922) | 80 | 13.7 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Erik Sabrowski](#/player/681870) | 26 | 0.4 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Craig Yoho](#/player/684974) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| PIT | [Mason Montgomery](#/player/682254) | 80 | 20.5 | 14 | Owns it |
| [Gregory Soto](#/player/642397) | 24 | 0.3 | 5 | Next in line | |
| [Yohan Ramírez](#/player/670990) | 24 | 0.2 | 1 | Deep | |
| COL | [Jordan Romano](#/player/605447) | 79 | 18.7 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Jimmy Herget](#/player/623474) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Jaden Hill](#/player/677955) | 21 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| BOS | [Aroldis Chapman](#/player/547973) | 78 | 21.7 | 23 | Owns it |
| [Garrett Whitlock](#/player/676477) | 37 | 4.0 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Greg Weissert](#/player/669711) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| DET | [Kenley Jansen](#/player/445276) | 77 | 16.4 | 13 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Holton](#/player/663947) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Kyle Finnegan](#/player/640448) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| SD | [Mason Miller](#/player/695243) | 76 | 19.8 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Yuki Matsui](#/player/673513) | 26 | 0.7 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Adrian Morejon](#/player/670970) | 25 | 0.5 | 2 | Deep | |
| TOR | [Louis Varland](#/player/686973) | 75 | 27.1 | 22 | Owns it |
| [Spencer Miles](#/player/693686) | 29 | 2.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Paul Sewald](#/player/623149) | 27 | 1.2 | 11 | Deep | |
| STL | [Riley O'Brien](#/player/676617) | 74 | 15.7 | 19 | Owns it |
| [George Soriano](#/player/666277) | 34 | 2.3 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Ryne Stanek](#/player/592773) | 22 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| PHI | [Jhoan Duran](#/player/661395) | 71 | 24.2 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Jonathan Bowlan](#/player/680742) | 26 | 0.8 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Brooks Raley](#/player/548384) | 22 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep |
The cutoffs are calibrated to the league, not picked: across the 30 bullpens the top arm's CCS runs from 34 to 82 with a median of 74, so a leader in the 70s with 25-plus points of daylight is a real closer, while a leader in the 40s and 50s with company right behind him is a committee whatever the depth chart says.
Proj SV is the engine's expected saves for the rest of the season, which is the number to trade on, season saves are already banked and tell you about the past. A committee arm with meaningful projected saves is the cheapest source of the scarcest category in the game.
_Confidence scores generated September 17, 2026._
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