7 bullpens have no clear owner of the ninth. Where the saves are actually gettable.
Saves are the category most often decided by a role rather than a skill, so this is the standing read on all 30 bullpens rather than a reaction to any one blown save. CCS is the closer-confidence score: save share over the last 30 and 14 days, leverage, role history, skills and usage. The number that matters is not any single arm's score but the GAP between the top two.
No arm has separated. These are the bullpens worth speculating in, because the cost of the second-best arm is near zero and the payoff if he takes the job is a full closer.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | [Hogan Harris](#/player/663687) | 62 | 12.5 | 10 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Elvis Alvarado](#/player/665660) | 47 | 7.0 | 4 | Live alternative | |
| [Chris Roycroft](#/player/688297) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| KC | [Steven Cruz](#/player/674444) | 56 | 11.5 | 7 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Nate Pearson](#/player/663878) | 42 | 5.9 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Alex Lange](#/player/656638) | 32 | 2.5 | 10 | Deep | |
| MIA | [Calvin Faucher](#/player/676534) | 55 | 8.3 | 2 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Pete Fairbanks](#/player/664126) | 54 | 8.1 | 14 | Live alternative | |
| [Josh Ekness](#/player/694795) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| CHC | [Ryan Zeferjahn](#/player/666171) | 47 | 13.2 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Jacob Webb](#/player/657097) | 34 | 4.9 | 8 | Live alternative | |
| [Ryan Rolison](#/player/669020) | 33 | 4.3 | 2 | Deep | |
| ARI | [Brandyn Garcia](#/player/805299) | 45 | 3.1 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Kevin Ginkel](#/player/656464) | 42 | 2.5 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Juan Morillo](#/player/666661) | 38 | 1.9 | 2 | Deep | |
| SF | [Dylan Smith](#/player/681916) | 43 | 6.1 | 3 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Joel Kuhnel](#/player/669270) | 40 | 5.1 | 5 | Live alternative | |
| [Trent Harris](#/player/805345) | 34 | 2.9 | 1 | Deep | |
| BAL | [Andrew Kittredge](#/player/552640) | 42 | 9.6 | 8 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Rico Garcia](#/player/670329) | 41 | 8.8 | 4 | Live alternative | |
| [Yennier Cano](#/player/666974) | 30 | 3.0 | 3 | Deep |
A clear leader with a live arm behind him. Rosterable, but the handcuff is worth more here than anywhere else.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | [Tanner Scott](#/player/656945) | 67 | 21.2 | 16 | Has it for now |
| [Evan Phillips](#/player/623465) | 30 | 2.2 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Edgardo Henriquez](#/player/683618) | 29 | 1.8 | 2 | Deep | |
| LAA | [Ben Joyce](#/player/690829) | 66 | 8.0 | 4 | Has it for now |
| [Ryan Watson](#/player/670245) | 32 | 1.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Samy Natera Jr.](#/player/696519) | 25 | 0.2 | 3 | Deep | |
| NYM | [Kodai Senga](#/player/673540) | 65 | 16.1 | 7 | Has it for now |
| [Devin Williams](#/player/642207) | 31 | 2.2 | 14 | Next in line | |
| [Tobias Myers](#/player/668964) | 27 | 1.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| CWS | [Bryan Hudson](#/player/663542) | 59 | 13.3 | 6 | Has it for now |
| [Grant Taylor](#/player/691799) | 37 | 4.1 | 7 | Next in line | |
| [Sean Newcomb](#/player/656794) | 25 | 0.6 | 3 | Deep | |
| WSH | [Erik Tolman](#/player/680899) | 53 | 16.4 | 2 | Has it for now |
| [Jack Sinclair](#/player/695378) | 37 | 6.3 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Clayton Beeter](#/player/690925) | 27 | 1.5 | 8 | Deep |
Wide separation at the top. Pay for the closer, ignore the handcuff.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | [Aroldis Chapman](#/player/547973) | 88 | 23.2 | 23 | Owns it |
| [Garrett Whitlock](#/player/676477) | 31 | 1.8 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Greg Weissert](#/player/669711) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| NYY | [David Bednar](#/player/670280) | 87 | 24.4 | 21 | Owns it |
| [Tim Hill](#/player/657612) | 25 | 0.5 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Ryan Yarbrough](#/player/642232) | 22 | 0.0 | 3 | Deep | |
| ATL | [Raisel Iglesias](#/player/628452) | 87 | 20.6 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Didier Fuentes](#/player/800311) | 26 | 0.5 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Victor Mederos](#/player/682989) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| CIN | [Emilio Pagán](#/player/641941) | 86 | 25.0 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Julian Garcia](#/player/670062) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Tony Santillan](#/player/663574) | 22 | 0.0 | 5 | Deep | |
| SEA | [Andrés Muñoz](#/player/662253) | 86 | 17.0 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Seranthony Domínguez](#/player/622554) | 23 | 0.1 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Hoby Milner](#/player/571948) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| COL | [Jordan Romano](#/player/605447) | 86 | 18.7 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Jimmy Herget](#/player/623474) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Brennan Bernardino](#/player/657514) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| HOU | [Josh Hader](#/player/623352) | 85 | 19.5 | 20 | Owns it |
| [Bryan Abreu](#/player/650556) | 31 | 1.5 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [AJ Blubaugh](#/player/805123) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| DET | [Kenley Jansen](#/player/445276) | 85 | 16.3 | 12 | Owns it |
| [Kyle Finnegan](#/player/640448) | 23 | 0.1 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Kinley](#/player/641755) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| TEX | [Jacob Latz](#/player/656641) | 84 | 22.2 | 24 | Owns it |
| [Jakob Junis](#/player/596001) | 32 | 2.0 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Alexander](#/player/641302) | 21 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| CLE | [Cade Smith](#/player/671922) | 82 | 13.6 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Erik Sabrowski](#/player/681870) | 26 | 0.5 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Hunter Gaddis](#/player/683769) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| PIT | [Mason Montgomery](#/player/682254) | 79 | 19.6 | 13 | Owns it |
| [Gregory Soto](#/player/642397) | 30 | 1.4 | 6 | Next in line | |
| [Carmen Mlodzinski](#/player/669387) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| SD | [Mason Miller](#/player/695243) | 78 | 18.2 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Adrian Morejon](#/player/670970) | 28 | 1.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Bradgley Rodriguez](#/player/699134) | 28 | 1.1 | 2 | Deep | |
| TB | [Bryan Baker](#/player/641329) | 76 | 24.1 | 24 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Wells](#/player/669330) | 43 | 7.1 | 6 | Next in line | |
| [Cole Sulser](#/player/642121) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| STL | [Riley O'Brien](#/player/676617) | 76 | 16.7 | 20 | Owns it |
| [George Soriano](#/player/666277) | 34 | 2.4 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Ryne Stanek](#/player/592773) | 25 | 0.4 | 1 | Deep | |
| MIL | [Trevor Megill](#/player/656730) | 75 | 20.0 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Aaron Ashby](#/player/676879) | 30 | 1.6 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Garrett Stallings](#/player/668831) | 23 | 0.2 | 1 | Deep | |
| TOR | [Louis Varland](#/player/686973) | 75 | 25.2 | 22 | Owns it |
| [Paul Sewald](#/player/623149) | 35 | 4.2 | 12 | Next in line | |
| [Michael Lorenzen](#/player/547179) | 30 | 2.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| MIN | [Yoendrys Gómez](#/player/672782) | 74 | 21.1 | 18 | Owns it |
| [A.J. Minter](#/player/621345) | 34 | 3.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Andrew Morris](#/player/702193) | 26 | 0.8 | 2 | Deep | |
| PHI | [Jhoan Duran](#/player/661395) | 72 | 20.3 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Orion Kerkering](#/player/689147) | 30 | 1.9 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Jonathan Bowlan](#/player/680742) | 26 | 0.7 | 2 | Deep |
The cutoffs are calibrated to the league, not picked: across the 30 bullpens the top arm's CCS runs from 34 to 82 with a median of 74, so a leader in the 70s with 25-plus points of daylight is a real closer, while a leader in the 40s and 50s with company right behind him is a committee whatever the depth chart says.
Proj SV is the engine's expected saves for the rest of the season, which is the number to trade on, season saves are already banked and tell you about the past. A committee arm with meaningful projected saves is the cheapest source of the scarcest category in the game.
_Confidence scores generated September 13, 2026._
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