8 bullpens have no clear owner of the ninth. Where the saves are actually gettable.
Saves are the category most often decided by a role rather than a skill, so this is the standing read on all 30 bullpens rather than a reaction to any one blown save. CCS is the closer-confidence score: save share over the last 30 and 14 days, leverage, role history, skills and usage. The number that matters is not any single arm's score but the GAP between the top two.
No arm has separated. These are the bullpens worth speculating in, because the cost of the second-best arm is near zero and the payoff if he takes the job is a full closer.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | [Brandyn Garcia](#/player/805299) | 65 | 2.9 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Kevin Ginkel](#/player/656464) | 51 | 1.8 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Jonathan Loáisiga](#/player/642528) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| LAD | [Tanner Scott](#/player/656945) | 60 | 15.3 | 15 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Edwin Díaz](#/player/621242) | 46 | 8.7 | 7 | Live alternative | |
| [Jack Dreyer](#/player/676263) | 23 | 0.2 | 1 | Deep | |
| NYM | [Kodai Senga](#/player/673540) | 55 | 9.3 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Devin Williams](#/player/642207) | 41 | 4.5 | 14 | Live alternative | |
| [Daniel Duarte](#/player/650960) | 34 | 2.6 | 2 | Deep | |
| SF | [Dylan Smith](#/player/681916) | 54 | 5.9 | 3 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [JT Brubaker](#/player/664141) | 44 | 3.5 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Jason Foley](#/player/671345) | 21 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| KC | [Steven Cruz](#/player/674444) | 52 | 9.6 | 5 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Alex Lange](#/player/656638) | 37 | 4.1 | 10 | Live alternative | |
| [Nate Pearson](#/player/663878) | 36 | 3.6 | 3 | Deep | |
| CWS | [Grant Taylor](#/player/691799) | 49 | 8.5 | 7 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Sean Newcomb](#/player/656794) | 36 | 3.5 | 4 | Live alternative | |
| [Bryan Hudson](#/player/663542) | 35 | 3.1 | 3 | Deep | |
| LAA | [Ben Joyce](#/player/690829) | 48 | 5.2 | 3 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ryan Watson](#/player/670245) | 32 | 1.5 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Samy Natera Jr.](#/player/696519) | 32 | 1.5 | 3 | Deep | |
| BAL | [Andrew Kittredge](#/player/552640) | 45 | 8.7 | 6 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Cam Sanders](#/player/676742) | 41 | 6.9 | 3 | Live alternative | |
| [Rico Garcia](#/player/670329) | 36 | 4.7 | 3 | Deep |
A clear leader with a live arm behind him. Rosterable, but the handcuff is worth more here than anywhere else.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | [Clayton Beeter](#/player/690925) | 61 | 23.4 | 10 | Has it for now |
| [Jake Bird](#/player/656234) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Next in line | |
| [Max Kranick](#/player/668820) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| PIT | [Mason Montgomery](#/player/682254) | 58 | 11.0 | 5 | Has it for now |
| [Gregory Soto](#/player/642397) | 40 | 4.4 | 10 | Next in line | |
| [Yohan Ramírez](#/player/670990) | 32 | 2.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| CHC | [Jacob Webb](#/player/657097) | 56 | 19.0 | 8 | Has it for now |
| [Javier Assad](#/player/665871) | 29 | 2.4 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Ryan Zeferjahn](#/player/666171) | 26 | 1.3 | 3 | Deep |
Wide separation at the top. Pay for the closer, ignore the handcuff.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | [Mason Miller](#/player/695243) | 86 | 18.0 | 20 | Owns it |
| [Bradgley Rodriguez](#/player/699134) | 30 | 1.2 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Adrian Morejon](#/player/670970) | 25 | 0.3 | 1 | Deep | |
| TB | [Bryan Baker](#/player/641329) | 86 | 32.0 | 27 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Wells](#/player/669330) | 26 | 0.7 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Kevin Kelly](#/player/687330) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| HOU | [Josh Hader](#/player/623352) | 86 | 20.5 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Bryan Abreu](#/player/650556) | 29 | 1.1 | 5 | Next in line | |
| [AJ Blubaugh](#/player/805123) | 24 | 0.3 | 1 | Deep | |
| COL | [Jordan Romano](#/player/605447) | 85 | 17.9 | 12 | Owns it |
| [Brennan Bernardino](#/player/657514) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Jimmy Herget](#/player/623474) | 21 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| ATL | [Raisel Iglesias](#/player/628452) | 84 | 21.3 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Didier Fuentes](#/player/800311) | 26 | 0.6 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Victor Mederos](#/player/682989) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| STL | [Riley O'Brien](#/player/676617) | 84 | 18.7 | 22 | Owns it |
| [Ryne Stanek](#/player/592773) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Next in line | |
| [Justin Bruihl](#/player/677865) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| NYY | [David Bednar](#/player/670280) | 84 | 23.3 | 20 | Owns it |
| [Tim Hill](#/player/657612) | 25 | 0.5 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Ryan Yarbrough](#/player/642232) | 25 | 0.4 | 3 | Deep | |
| TEX | [Jacob Latz](#/player/656641) | 83 | 24.2 | 24 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Alexander](#/player/641302) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Jakob Junis](#/player/596001) | 21 | 0.0 | 4 | Deep | |
| SEA | [Andrés Muñoz](#/player/662253) | 83 | 16.4 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Seranthony Domínguez](#/player/622554) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [José A. Ferrer](#/player/678606) | 22 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| BOS | [Aroldis Chapman](#/player/547973) | 82 | 23.0 | 23 | Owns it |
| [Erik Miller](#/player/669062) | 28 | 1.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Greg Weissert](#/player/669711) | 23 | 0.2 | 1 | Deep | |
| CLE | [Cade Smith](#/player/671922) | 82 | 16.4 | 19 | Owns it |
| [Colin Holderman](#/player/670059) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Matt Festa](#/player/670036) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| MIA | [Pete Fairbanks](#/player/664126) | 77 | 15.8 | 13 | Owns it |
| [Calvin Faucher](#/player/676534) | 37 | 3.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Josh Ekness](#/player/694795) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| CIN | [Emilio Pagán](#/player/641941) | 77 | 20.6 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Julian Garcia](#/player/670062) | 34 | 2.8 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Pierce Johnson](#/player/572955) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| DET | [Kenley Jansen](#/player/445276) | 77 | 16.7 | 14 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Holton](#/player/663947) | 28 | 0.9 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Kyle Finnegan](#/player/640448) | 24 | 0.3 | 1 | Deep | |
| MIN | [Yoendrys Gómez](#/player/672782) | 77 | 24.3 | 17 | Owns it |
| [Andrew Morris](#/player/702193) | 29 | 1.6 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Taylor Rogers](#/player/573124) | 25 | 0.6 | 2 | Deep | |
| PHI | [Jhoan Duran](#/player/661395) | 76 | 24.1 | 20 | Owns it |
| [Brooks Raley](#/player/548384) | 28 | 1.4 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Jonathan Bowlan](#/player/680742) | 27 | 1.1 | 1 | Deep | |
| MIL | [Trevor Megill](#/player/656730) | 74 | 25.4 | 20 | Owns it |
| [Aaron Ashby](#/player/676879) | 35 | 4.2 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Chad Patrick](#/player/694477) | 26 | 0.8 | 4 | Deep | |
| TOR | [Louis Varland](#/player/686973) | 74 | 30.5 | 22 | Owns it |
| [Paul Sewald](#/player/623149) | 32 | 3.8 | 17 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Rogers](#/player/643511) | 26 | 1.2 | 2 | Deep | |
| ATH | [Hogan Harris](#/player/663687) | 72 | 15.3 | 10 | Owns it |
| [Elvis Alvarado](#/player/665660) | 35 | 2.6 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Scott Blewett](#/player/656240) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep |
The cutoffs are calibrated to the league, not picked: across the 30 bullpens the top arm's CCS runs from 34 to 82 with a median of 74, so a leader in the 70s with 25-plus points of daylight is a real closer, while a leader in the 40s and 50s with company right behind him is a committee whatever the depth chart says.
Proj SV is the engine's expected saves for the rest of the season, which is the number to trade on, season saves are already banked and tell you about the past. A committee arm with meaningful projected saves is the cheapest source of the scarcest category in the game.
_Confidence scores generated August 24, 2026._
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