6 bullpens have no clear owner of the ninth. Where the saves are actually gettable.
Saves are the category most often decided by a role rather than a skill, so this is the standing read on all 30 bullpens rather than a reaction to any one blown save. CCS is the closer-confidence score: save share over the last 30 and 14 days, leverage, role history, skills and usage. The number that matters is not any single arm's score but the GAP between the top two.
No arm has separated. These are the bullpens worth speculating in, because the cost of the second-best arm is near zero and the payoff if he takes the job is a full closer.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | [Steven Cruz](#/player/674444) | 56 | 11.0 | 4 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Alex Lange](#/player/656638) | 42 | 5.7 | 10 | Live alternative | |
| [Nate Pearson](#/player/663878) | 33 | 2.7 | 2 | Deep | |
| NYM | [Devin Williams](#/player/642207) | 56 | 7.6 | 14 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Kodai Senga](#/player/673540) | 45 | 4.6 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Daniel Duarte](#/player/650960) | 33 | 1.8 | 1 | Deep | |
| PIT | [Gregory Soto](#/player/642397) | 54 | 9.5 | 13 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Mason Montgomery](#/player/682254) | 50 | 8.3 | 4 | Live alternative | |
| [Lake Bachar](#/player/669199) | 30 | 1.6 | 2 | Deep | |
| SF | [JT Brubaker](#/player/664141) | 50 | 4.7 | 2 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Dylan Smith](#/player/681916) | 46 | 3.9 | 2 | Live alternative | |
| [Keaton Winn](#/player/676775) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| LAD | [Edwin Díaz](#/player/621242) | 50 | 10.7 | 7 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Tanner Scott](#/player/656945) | 48 | 10.0 | 13 | Live alternative | |
| [Jack Dreyer](#/player/676263) | 29 | 1.9 | 1 | Deep | |
| LAA | [Samy Natera Jr.](#/player/696519) | 49 | 3.7 | 3 | Committee, no clear owner |
| [Ben Joyce](#/player/690829) | 34 | 1.3 | 1 | Live alternative | |
| [José Fermin](#/player/820862) | 34 | 1.3 | 1 | Deep |
A clear leader with a live arm behind him. Rosterable, but the handcuff is worth more here than anywhere else.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | [Jhoan Duran](#/player/661395) | 71 | 17.3 | 19 | Has it for now |
| [Jonathan Bowlan](#/player/680742) | 47 | 7.1 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Caleb Kilian](#/player/668873) | 25 | 0.5 | 8 | Deep | |
| BOS | [Aroldis Chapman](#/player/547973) | 67 | 22.7 | 24 | Has it for now |
| [Erik Miller](#/player/669062) | 27 | 1.4 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Brayan Bello](#/player/678394) | 27 | 1.3 | 1 | Deep | |
| ATL | [Raisel Iglesias](#/player/628452) | 66 | 17.5 | 16 | Has it for now |
| [Didier Fuentes](#/player/800311) | 30 | 2.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Kinley](#/player/641755) | 29 | 1.5 | 1 | Deep | |
| TOR | [Louis Varland](#/player/686973) | 64 | 26.5 | 22 | Has it for now |
| [Paul Sewald](#/player/623149) | 36 | 6.5 | 17 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Rogers](#/player/643511) | 31 | 3.5 | 3 | Deep | |
| CWS | [Grant Taylor](#/player/691799) | 55 | 8.6 | 6 | Has it for now |
| [Trevor Richards](#/player/670950) | 39 | 3.6 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Bryan Hudson](#/player/663542) | 32 | 1.9 | 3 | Deep | |
| CHC | [Jacob Webb](#/player/657097) | 52 | 18.4 | 8 | Has it for now |
| [Ryan Zeferjahn](#/player/666171) | 32 | 4.2 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Caleb Thielbar](#/player/573204) | 25 | 1.1 | 2 | Deep | |
| BAL | [Andrew Kittredge](#/player/552640) | 50 | 12.2 | 6 | Has it for now |
| [Yennier Cano](#/player/666974) | 32 | 3.1 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Cam Sanders](#/player/676742) | 31 | 2.8 | 2 | Deep |
Wide separation at the top. Pay for the closer, ignore the handcuff.
| Team | Arm | CCS | Proj SV (rest of season) | SV | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | [Andrés Muñoz](#/player/662253) | 85 | 18.1 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Seranthony Domínguez](#/player/622554) | 27 | 0.6 | 5 | Next in line | |
| [José A. Ferrer](#/player/678606) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| COL | [Jordan Romano](#/player/605447) | 85 | 19.5 | 12 | Owns it |
| [Juan Mejia](#/player/675848) | 21 | 0.0 | 3 | Next in line | |
| [Brennan Bernardino](#/player/657514) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| NYY | [David Bednar](#/player/670280) | 84 | 19.2 | 17 | Owns it |
| [Tim Hill](#/player/657612) | 24 | 0.2 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Fernando Cruz](#/player/518585) | 23 | 0.1 | 2 | Deep | |
| MIL | [Trevor Megill](#/player/656730) | 84 | 26.8 | 18 | Owns it |
| [Chad Patrick](#/player/694477) | 31 | 2.1 | 5 | Next in line | |
| [Antonio Senzatela](#/player/622608) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Deep | |
| CLE | [Cade Smith](#/player/671922) | 83 | 18.7 | 21 | Owns it |
| [Colin Holderman](#/player/670059) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Matt Festa](#/player/670036) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| MIA | [Pete Fairbanks](#/player/664126) | 83 | 20.6 | 16 | Owns it |
| [Victor Vodnik](#/player/680767) | 25 | 0.5 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Tyler Zuber](#/player/676604) | 21 | 0.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| HOU | [Josh Hader](#/player/623352) | 81 | 20.0 | 17 | Owns it |
| [Bryan Abreu](#/player/650556) | 33 | 2.2 | 6 | Next in line | |
| [AJ Blubaugh](#/player/805123) | 29 | 1.2 | 1 | Deep | |
| STL | [Riley O'Brien](#/player/676617) | 80 | 20.3 | 23 | Owns it |
| [George Soriano](#/player/666277) | 20 | 0.0 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Justin Bruihl](#/player/677865) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| SD | [Mason Miller](#/player/695243) | 80 | 17.2 | 20 | Owns it |
| [Adrian Morejon](#/player/670970) | 30 | 1.4 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Bradgley Rodriguez](#/player/699134) | 28 | 0.9 | 1 | Deep | |
| TEX | [Jacob Latz](#/player/656641) | 78 | 24.2 | 23 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Alexander](#/player/641302) | 22 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Peyton Gray](#/player/682608) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| ATH | [Hogan Harris](#/player/663687) | 77 | 16.4 | 9 | Owns it |
| [Elvis Alvarado](#/player/665660) | 20 | 0.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Scott Blewett](#/player/656240) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| TB | [Bryan Baker](#/player/641329) | 77 | 27.9 | 26 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Wells](#/player/669330) | 32 | 2.9 | 4 | Next in line | |
| [Steven Matz](#/player/571927) | 26 | 1.0 | 1 | Deep | |
| CIN | [Emilio Pagán](#/player/641941) | 76 | 20.5 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Julian Garcia](#/player/670062) | 31 | 2.0 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Brock Burke](#/player/656271) | 27 | 0.9 | 1 | Deep | |
| DET | [Kenley Jansen](#/player/445276) | 76 | 13.7 | 14 | Owns it |
| [Tyler Holton](#/player/663947) | 37 | 2.6 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Kyle Finnegan](#/player/640448) | 28 | 0.8 | 1 | Deep | |
| ARI | [Brandyn Garcia](#/player/805299) | 74 | 3.3 | 4 | Owns it |
| [Kevin Ginkel](#/player/656464) | 37 | 0.6 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Juan Morillo](#/player/666661) | 20 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep | |
| MIN | [Yoendrys Gómez](#/player/672782) | 72 | 25.9 | 15 | Owns it |
| [Taylor Rogers](#/player/573124) | 24 | 0.5 | 2 | Next in line | |
| [Jeff Hoffman](#/player/656546) | 23 | 0.1 | 2 | Deep | |
| WSH | [Clayton Beeter](#/player/690925) | 72 | 22.6 | 10 | Owns it |
| [Tom Cosgrove](#/player/676680) | 26 | 0.9 | 1 | Next in line | |
| [Max Kranick](#/player/668820) | 19 | 0.0 | 0 | Deep |
The cutoffs are calibrated to the league, not picked: across the 30 bullpens the top arm's CCS runs from 34 to 82 with a median of 74, so a leader in the 70s with 25-plus points of daylight is a real closer, while a leader in the 40s and 50s with company right behind him is a committee whatever the depth chart says.
Proj SV is the engine's expected saves for the rest of the season, which is the number to trade on, season saves are already banked and tell you about the past. A committee arm with meaningful projected saves is the cheapest source of the scarcest category in the game.
_Confidence scores generated August 14, 2026._
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| Player | Pos | ProjPts | Status |
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